Let me cue that. I don't think General Milly is a good tactician or strategist. But hey, Napoleon couldn't win battles without that kinda royalist guy that handled. all his supply lines. Wasn't there for Waterloo and Napoleon lost that fight. Just went out on Red Herring with my son and 'uncle Phil', kind of a proxy uncle figure for me I guess, one of my neighbour's near my mooring. Swell guy. Great sunny weather.... Let's listen to Petraeus:
https://youtu.be/IlqFJmKgkQ0?si=iJxwcRvMHKsmnNtO
Ok just had dinner with the crew. So with this interview, just skip the first thirteen minutes as it's about the Palestinian situation and we're not looking at that here. So the thing I was thinking after studying the new frontier, like the Russians have triple stacked landmines, a notable sign of strong Russian will. Not just one landmine patchwork but three stacked on each other over and about all over the place. It seems the Russians are happy with that line and even the top Ukrainian military guys are looking at strategies involving shoring that defensive line with their own barriers this winter (the time to dig trenches and stuff).
Part of this is they're looking at defending possible attacks on other less defended fronts adjoining Belorussia. So why not think about attacking Belorussia at this point? Like if you're afraid you're gonna be attacked by Belorussia just attack Belorussia. I mean the Belorussians voted for some tree hugging America EU loving lesbian do-gooder or whatever right? And she had to flee to Lithuania cause Vlad and the Belorussian president wouldn't have a bar of her. It really shows you the Belorussians are possibly ripe to change sides and get bombed alongside the Ukrainians. It's really something to think about there.
Especially as Holland, Denmark and others are now injecting the F-16 fighter jet into the fight. The first thing to understand is that the F-16 comes plugged into a radar, GPS, targeting system and computer system that is fairly formidable and will change the balance of power in the war. The Russians, when flummoxed by these advents will threaten tactical nuclear strikes however if you consider the MOAB bomb the Pentagon dropped on Pakistan back in late 2017, you don't need to go nuclear to have one big bomb. And the Russians have been using banned sulphur difusing cluster bombs (burns people's skin right off their still breathing frames, harsh).
Anyway, based on European Union will and possibly being somewhat redundant the American political 'issue' of open southern border. With the predictable change the F-16 will bring, I do not think it's wise for Ukraine to seek to liberate hitherto conquered territory just yet, but rather demonstrate mastery with the F-16 in various forms of its (considerable) potential. A lot of western countries like Denmark and Holland and America are transitioning to the F-35 so they would be spending money to decommission their old toys anyway.
Watch out for Russia bombing immaculate airstrips the F-16 requires and associated hangars. NATO might start stationing F-16 ground support technicians in Ukraine to maintain them. General need for SAM (surface to air missiles) in Ukraine at this point.
Things to watch out for even when shutting off F16's high visibility inboard radar and relying on NATO AWACS: Russia's R-37M air to air high speed missiles, always armed and ready to go at a rate of around six a day.
First ever major war using advanced small drones (ASD) and associated signal jamming technology. Guys sitting around in army fatigues with advanced goggles on a milk crate with Sony Playstation like joysticks and controllers in their hands. Bombing tanks with little tiny drones. Russian tanks with additional slats added, often just glorified fly screens with the ubiquitous trademark Putin letter Z. Just to stop the flying drones from slamming into a turret or guy standing in the turret. Guys walking around with drone jamming technology in their backpacks. An entire Russian line fortified with the aforementioned triple stacked landmines PLUS evenly spaced drone jamming technology.
Finally, a mobilized Russia with civilians abandoning their partner swap nightclubs to build drones for mother Russia and Putin to lecture about morality, ha ha gotta laugh at that.
Pentagon and American military industrial complex caught flat-footed and gaping at the new drone based battlefield and tactics. Future ability to use AI systems to organise drone squadrons to signal jam, reconnaissance, kamikaze bomb, bomb, even to individual soldiers crapping in a stream.
Russians interested in bombing Ukrainian drone building factories/locales.
Drones are cheap, often made with components made in China, costing around $650 u.s. dollars. If only one in three drones is effective, that's still only $2000. Mortars and missiles cost in the tens of thousands. Too expensive.
China changed its drone export rules I think last September to stop Ukraine from getting certain components.
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