Benji vision®:
https://youtu.be/Sl5fM24mfRk
It's generally agreed at this point the Russian strategy is to focus on the two eastern breakaway regions and even try encircling the Ukrainian army dug in in trenches on the western side of said provinces.
In terms of logistics, this report of a Lithuanian chap delivering military aid via Poland exemplifies the kind of resistance and ad hoc mobilization that is arising organically to resist Russia. And apart from that major NATO powers like America and Britain are also arming Ukraine through their channels.
Russian tactics seem to be resting on killing civilians and destroying civilian property. The Russians are demonstrating a preposterous and unbalanced advantage at delivering devastating artillery shelling from various sources: military on the ground in tanks or armoured vehicles, from the sea and ground outside of Ukraine through surface to air (to surface) (SAM) missiles. This has been Russia's greatest advantage by far so far this war. This is not a way for an army on the ground to defeat another army on the ground, going house to house killing civilians or bombing civilians and history shows Nazi Germany lost the battle of Britain it might have won by focusing on bombing civilians in London in order to sow terror and chaos. In fact, if Hitler had not been allowed to override his generals it's likely they would have focused on destroying Britain's airbases and factories producing fighter planes.
When peace inevitably comes to this region, we are going to see Ukraine adopt the euro currency like Spain and France (and Germany) and receive massive funding from the EU to rebuild its shattered cities, I would think. Certainly Germany and Japan built back beautifully after worse bombing from the allies in world war two. The history of warfare is full of attacks on civilians. I know Alexander the great offered cities like Tyre to surrender and if they obstinately refused then the civilians were treated as the Russians treat the Ukrainians.
I'm a little perplexed as to Russia's precise objectives and it seems to me the Russians are wholeheartedly behind their leadership, as an entire population and they have a legitimate concern about their security, with regards to certain specific things, however beyond that I cannot understand their precise objectives. On the battlefield as it now looks, this means how long is Odessa safe? How can Ukraine export wheat to her usual customers in Northern Africa and what is being done by the EU to facilitate export through Poland? I can imagine it's dangerous to truck exports out and the train system is working full stretch to evacuate citizens. Certainly Russia could have disabled Ukraine's trainlines twenty times from Sunday by now and it's also surprising the Ukrainians have not yet drone bombed Russia's train lines around Ukraine (in Russia and Belorussia). Ukraine certainly has the potential for this with their drones. These are critical supply lines.
Russia's military losses. While Russians demonstrated unquestionable adaptability and resolve and success after the Nazi German invasion in world war two, it's unquestionable they can do the same in this new confrontation they have chosen. I do not think they are going to be hurt by the loss of Netflix. I'm wondering how we can avoid the question of Russia's objectives in this war. What is going to make them feel secure in terms of NATO. Clearly they are accelerating Ukraine's joining the EU and it's unclear why Ukraine should feel the need to surrender any of their land to Russia since they never planned on invading Russia or allowing Germany to invade Russia. In fact Germany is militarising like crazy since this war broke out.
Finland is likely to join NATO soon. A flaw in the design of the Russian T72 tank means that the ammunition stored within the tank has no protective shield to stop it blowing up when the tank is attacked correctly. The American Abrams tank will not do this. The Russian 'grad' missile launcher (not sure if that's the correct name for it) has been an easily observable example of Russia's overwhelming artillery power cited above, however the T72 has not due to it's weakness. It is especially weak as the Russian command and control so far has not focused on defeating Ukraine's army but just smashing up civilian targets approximately 90% of the time from what I can see. See Benji Vision® above.
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